In this report:
Executive SummaryFour years after the catastrophic combination of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita and multiple failures of government preparation and response, this report reviews factors that contribute to the unique difficulties in obtaining an accurate count in the Gulf Coast region for the 2010 Census. We recommend a set of policy and operational changes that would increase the likelihood of a successful count, which is vitally important to continued progress in communities still recovering from the impact of the 2005 storms. The always daunting task of accurately counting the U.S. population every 10 years is mandated by the U.S. Constitution. The count, carried out by the U.S. Census Bureau based on a nationwide survey of households, is used to allocate representation in the U.S. House of Representatives among the states, to draw congressional and state legislative district lines; to direct the distribution of trillions of dollars in federal, state, and private spending and investment decisions; and to assist in the evaluation and enforcement of civil rights protections. The uneven accuracy of previous census counts – particularly the higher likelihood that racial and ethnic minorities, people with low income, people with limited English proficiency, and others are more likely to be undercounted – raises serious civil rights concerns about equality of political representation and economic opportunity. For the 2010 Census, the task will be exceptionally challenging in the Gulf Coast region. Demographic Data Point to Major Challenges AheadThe demographic and socio-economic characteristics of the Gulf Coast region made it vulnerable to an undercount even before the Katrina catastrophe and its aftermath.1 For the 2010 Census, the region's already high rate of people living in officially designated "hard to count" areas has been exacerbated by a set of circumstances facing communities affected by Katrina: massive housing destruction and depopulation; uneven and incomplete recovery; difficult-to-classify addresses in areas of lingering blight; rapidly changing conditions generated by ongoing rebuilding; and distrust of government enhanced by the failures of preparedness, response and recovery. A review of the most recent available research on demographic and housing data in the Gulf Coast region confirms the particular nature of the challenges to an accurate count in the areas still recovering from Katrina:
Even some information that is evidence of good news for the region's ongoing recovery exacerbates the challenges to the census:
These encouraging demographic trends – rapid population and housing unit growth – make it harder for the Census Bureau to approach Census Day on April 1, 2010 with an up-to-date address list, which is necessary to determine who receives a census form. The Census Bureau has taken some steps to meet the challenges of a Gulf Coast count.The Census Bureau has recognized the unique circumstances in the Gulf Coast region and has taken some steps to help ensure an accurate count. More specifically, the Bureau has:
In addition, Congress and the Obama administration included additional funding in this year's economic recovery legislation for the Census Bureau to invest in outreach to hard-to-count populations. Next Steps: Policy Recommendations for the President
Next Steps: Policy Recommendations for the U.S. Congress
Next Steps: Operational Recommendations for Census Officials
Next Section: Introduction
1. Evans, Desiree, "New Orleans: Will Displaced Residents be Counted," Facing South, Institute for Southern Studies, July 20, 2009, http://www.southernstudies.org/2009/07/new-orleans-will-displaced-residents-be-counted.html |